Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://colsan.repositorioinstitucional.mx/jspui/handle/1013/910
Can a multi-model approach improve hydrological ensemble forecasting? A study on 29 French catchments using 16 hydrological model structures
Juan Alberto Velazquez
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial
https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-29-33-2011
https://www.adv-geosci.net/29/33/2011/adgeo-29-33-2011.pdf
Metereología
Climatología
Hidrología
Lluvia y régimen pluviométrico
"An operational hydrological ensemble forecasting system based on a meteorological ensemble prediction system (M-EPS) coupled with a hydrological model searches to capture the uncertainties associated with the meteorological prediction to better predict river flows. However, the structure of the hydrological model is also an important source of uncertainty that has to be taken into account. This study aims at evaluating and comparing the performance and the reliability of different types of hydrological ensemble prediction systems (H-EPS), when ensemble weather forecasts are combined with a multi-model approach. The study is based on 29 catchments in France and 16 lumped hydrological model structures, driven by the weather forecasts from the European centre for medium-range weather forecasts (ECMWF). Results show that the ensemble predictions produced by a combination of several hydrological model structures and meteorological ensembles have higher skill and reliability than ensemble predictions given either by one single hydrological model fed by weather ensemble predictions or by several hydrological models and a deterministic meteorological forecast."
European Geosciences Union
Copernicus Publications
2011
Artículo
Advances in Geosciences Review
Inglés
Estudiantes
Investigadores
Público en general
Velázquez, J. A. et al. (2011) Can a multi-model approach improve hydrological ensemble forecasting? A study on 29 French catchments using 16 hydrological model structures, Advances in Geosciences, Recuperado en 19 de abril de 2020 de https://www.adv-geosci.net/29/33/2011/adgeo-29-33-2011.pdf
OTRAS ESPECIALIDADES DE LA BIOLOGÍA
Versión publicada
publishedVersion - Versión publicada
Appears in Collections:Artículos PAyS

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